Big Bet

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Detected 16m ago · Powered by MarketSonar

Current Probability
7%
On NO
24h Volume
$662.6K
Trading activity
Market Volume
$10.2M
Total liquidity
Disruption Score
40
Medium impact
Market Outcomes
0
7%
1
93%
Disruption Analysis
40
Medium Disruption
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